How Trump has already transformed America's relationship with North Korea
President Trump's force of personality, and the transparency of his character and motives, has succeeded in transforming the nature of every future interaction the U.S. has with North Korea — and not in a bad way
The never-will-happen-to-suddenly-on-because-President-Trump-wants-a-place-in-history-to-off-because-he-felt-insulted-to-on-again-because-he-feels-re-respected-by-Kim-Jong-Un summit is, as of this writing, still on. Singaporeans are already seeing signs of an unprecedented security apparatus in advance of the June 12 event.
But even if it is postponed again, President Trump's force of personality, and the transparency of his character and motives, has succeeded in transforming the nature of every future interaction the U.S. has with North Korea, and not in a bad way.
Kim has already reshuffled his national security cabinet, replacing aging members of his deep state with younger aides that the Japanese and South Korean intelligence services consider to be moderate and more amenable to compromise. (This is as much, perhaps, about regime survival as anything, but it still speaks to progress.)
Subscribe to The Week
Escape your echo chamber. Get the facts behind the news, plus analysis from multiple perspectives.
Sign up for The Week's Free Newsletters
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
From our morning news briefing to a weekly Good News Newsletter, get the best of The Week delivered directly to your inbox.
Also consider:
1. Before Trump's audacious endeavor (triggered by Kim's Olympic charm offensive), the U.S. knew next to nothing about the way that North Korea's high command made decisions about everything from trade with China and shows of force against the unified U.S.-South Korea presence to the way that Kim conducted himself in long meetings. Now, the U.S. knows a lot more. There's been a lot more to observe. A lot of behavior to assess. Every scrap of intelligence is important. Knowledge is essential, because:
2. The U.S. and allies still know next to nothing about North Korea's nuclear program. We don't know how their nuclear command and control system works. We don't know if Kim truly "pushes a button" or whether he has delegated authority to generals in an emergency. We don't know whether North Korea is working on ballistic missile defense counter-measures. For the sake of collective defense and safety, the world must learn more about these tetchy subjects. And opening the tent, even slightly, will help our spies and diplomats figure all of this out.
3. Every interaction between, say, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and Kim, or Pompeo's counterpart, adds a layer of human interaction, and potentially, builds a reservoir of good will that will help smooth over the indecorous provocations from a president who does not seem to have a grand strategy beyond the promotion of himself as a Great Man.
4. Further, the U.S. and North Korea are talking along multiple tracks, and these tracks will persist regardless of what Trump and Kim can do because they are tied to the future and security of South Korea, which has asserted its hand, rather strongly, in the whole process.
5. Because nuclear weapons are involved, growing mutuality is the essential antidote to decades of posturing and mistrust. And so far, even through the ups and downs of the past six months, interdependence has grown. A "hotline" between Seoul and Pyongyang is now in place. That is an unalloyed good.
The United States for years has pursued a Korea policy based on goals that are now moot through means that were inadequate for the character of the regime. Even if Hillary Clinton had won enough electoral votes to become president, the state of Kim's nuclear proliferation — a "break-out" capacity to threaten U.S. territories with a ballistic missile and a hydrogen bomb — would have been steady. Even if Kim concedes little — that is, if the U.S. "gets nothing" from the negotiations in the near-term — the drama is preparing us well, I think and I hope, for the long-term.
Create an account with the same email registered to your subscription to unlock access.
Sign up for Today's Best Articles in your inbox
A free daily email with the biggest news stories of the day – and the best features from TheWeek.com
Marc Ambinder is TheWeek.com's editor-at-large. He is the author, with D.B. Grady, of The Command and Deep State: Inside the Government Secrecy Industry. Marc is also a contributing editor for The Atlantic and GQ. Formerly, he served as White House correspondent for National Journal, chief political consultant for CBS News, and politics editor at The Atlantic. Marc is a 2001 graduate of Harvard. He is married to Michael Park, a corporate strategy consultant, and lives in Los Angeles.
-
'The House under GOP rule has become a hostile workplace'
Instant Opinion Opinion, comment and editorials of the day
By Harold Maass, The Week US Published
-
The Shohei Ohtani gambling scandal is about more than bad bets
In The Spotlight The firestorm surrounding one of baseball's biggest stars threatens to upend a generational legacy and professional sports at large
By Rafi Schwartz, The Week US Published
-
Feds raid Diddy homes in alleged sex trafficking case
Speed Read Homeland Security raided the properties of hip hop mogul Sean "Diddy" Combs
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
Will Aukus pact survive a second Trump presidency?
Today's Big Question US, UK and Australia seek to expand 'game-changer' defence partnership ahead of Republican's possible return to White House
By Sorcha Bradley, The Week UK Published
-
Cubans rally for 'power and food' in rare protests
Speed Read The protests came after 18-hour rolling blackouts and food supply shortages
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
Iran at the crossroads: have the mullahs lost their grip?
In Depth Iranian voters delivered a 'stinging rebuke' to the regime in parliamentary elections
By The Week UK Published
-
The state of Russian opposition after Navalny
The Explainer Potential challengers to Vladimir Putin have been jailed, exiled or barred from ballot
By Harriet Marsden, The Week UK Published
-
Haiti leader agrees to exit amid growing chaos
speed read Haitian Prime Minister Ariel Henry announced his resignation
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
Will mounting discontent affect Iran election?
Today's Big Question Low turnout is expected in poll seen as crucial test for Tehran's leadership
By Sorcha Bradley, The Week UK Published
-
Sweden clears final NATO hurdle with Hungary vote
Speed Read Hungary's parliament overwhelmingly approved Sweden's accession to NATO
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published
-
Zelenskyy says 31,000 troops dead in 2 years of war
Speed Read Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy gave a rare official military death toll
By Peter Weber, The Week US Published